Following a slowdown in 2009 and gradual growth in 2010, the market growth rate in 2011 is forecast to grow by almost 6% as spending picks up. However, government austerity measures will affect the economy from 2012, and so we expect the market to show slower growth at this time. Lower spending is likely to drive adoption of VoIP and also some fixed-to-mobile substitution. VoIP, mobile data and fixed broadband revenue growth are expected to show the highest CAGRs, while narrowband Internet is expected to disappear altogether around 2014. The total market is forecast to grow from $17.57bn (€12.88bn) in 2011 to $20.59bn (€16.05bn) in 2016, representing a 3.2% CAGR.
The Dutch communications market is one of the higher growth markets in Western Europe. Competition in the fixed broadband market is driving investment in higher speed networks. New LTE licensees will foster innovation in the mobile market. Radio spectrum in several different bands will be re-auctioned, and 800MHz spectrum will also become available, with some bands likely to be reserved for new entrants.
The Dutch fixed broadband market is one of the most competitive and therefore also most progressive in the region, resulting in high broadband penetration, high adoption of multiplay bundles, strong migration to VoIP and increasing pay-TV competition. Established telecommunications service providers will also enter the mobile market.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
The Netherlands in a regional context
Economic, demographic and political context
Regulatory environment
Demand profile
Service evolution
Competitive landscape
Major market players
Segment analysis
Mobile services
Fixed services
Pay-TV
Convergence
Identifying Opportunities
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